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2011-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 46 17-26 3-5 7-10 13 6 2 0 6 44 33 -
Chris Bosh * 43 9-17 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 2 2 18 10 -
Dwyane Wade * 41 15-22 1-3 3-4 8 5 0 1 2 34 24 -
Carlos Arroyo * 33 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 2 3 -
Joel Anthony * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
James Jones * 25 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Mario Chalmers * 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
Juwan Howard * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 3 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Matthews * 45 6-20 2-10 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 14 0 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 44 12-23 0-0 7-8 14 7 2 1 3 31 29 -
Nicolas Batum * 43 9-16 1-5 3-3 4 0 0 1 1 22 10 -
Marcus Camby * 36 1-5 0-0 0-0 14 3 1 1 2 2 14 -
Andre Miller * 30 2-9 0-1 2-2 3 7 2 0 2 6 7 -
Patty Mills * 23 5-10 1-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 13 6 -
Rudy Fernandez * 17 1-3 1-3 5-6 3 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
Dante Cunningham * 14 1-4 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
Joel Przybilla * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter