Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 46 | 17-26 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 33 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 43 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 15-22 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Jones * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 45 | 6-20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 44 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 29 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 43 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter