Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -10 (107-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 40 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 39 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 29 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 26 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 21 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 35 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter