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2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% -
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +11 (90-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glen Davis * 43 4-17 0-0 3-4 3 0 4 1 2 11 0 -
Ray Allen * 39 7-13 3-5 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 19 10 -
Paul Pierce * 38 7-16 2-4 5-6 4 3 1 0 1 21 12 -
Rajon Rondo * 37 6-14 0-1 1-2 5 8 5 0 0 13 17 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 19 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 2 0 5 8 -
Marquis Daniels * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Luke Harangody * 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 12 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 2 6 6 -
Nate Robinson * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Von Wafer 7 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Semih Erden 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 40 3-10 1-4 2-2 9 5 0 0 5 9 8 -
Derrick Rose * 38 10-19 1-3 15-19 5 2 0 0 4 36 20 -
Carlos Boozer * 36 9-15 0-0 4-5 10 2 0 0 5 22 14 -
Ronnie Brewer * 32 4-5 0-0 2-3 6 2 2 1 2 10 14 -
Kurt Thomas * 27 2-3 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 4 0 6 18 -
Taj Gibson * 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 4 0 0 4 -
Keith Bogans * 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Kyle Korver * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
C.J. Watson * 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
Omer Asik * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter