Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (108-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Paul George * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| James Posey * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| AJ Price | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Al Horford * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 32 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 28 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter