Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +15 (110-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Budinger * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 26 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ish Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 28 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 25 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quentin Richardson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter