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2011-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 64.9% 35.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 70.7% 29.3% - โœ—
Margin 61.9% 38.1% -2.7 โœ— (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Rose * 35 8-21 1-6 10-10 4 9 3 0 4 27 18 -
Carlos Boozer * 35 14-19 0-0 3-7 13 2 1 1 2 31 27 -
Luol Deng * 35 8-17 0-4 6-7 5 0 0 0 2 22 8 -
Ronnie Brewer * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 1 2 5 -
Taj Gibson * 22 3-5 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 2 1 7 9 -
Kurt Thomas * 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 0 6 -
C.J. Watson * 20 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Keith Bogans * 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Omer Asik * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 0 5 -
Kyle Korver 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 3 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elton Brand * 42 5-6 0-0 1-4 8 3 3 0 2 11 17 -
Jodie Meeks * 42 8-11 4-7 4-5 3 3 0 0 1 24 18 -
Jrue Holiday * 39 8-14 0-2 3-3 4 6 1 1 6 19 11 -
Spencer Hawes * 27 4-8 0-1 0-2 8 4 0 0 1 8 11 -
Lou Williams * 25 7-14 2-4 4-6 1 3 0 0 0 20 10 -
Andres Nocioni * 23 3-5 0-1 5-6 4 2 0 1 2 11 11 -
Thaddeus Young * 20 4-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 1 2 8 5 -
Evan Turner * 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Marreese Speights * 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter