Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (87-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 10-13 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 36 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 35 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Paul George * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Posey | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter