Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | -6.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +20 (122-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 41 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 23 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Pooh Jeter * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Donte Greene | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter