Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (95-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 43 | 11-22 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| James Harden * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 24 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 39 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 36 | 12-17 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 35 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 28 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter