Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +2 (105-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| George Hill * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 43 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 37 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 38 | 13-16 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Harangody * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter