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2011-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.8% 26.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +25 (108-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Monroe * 29 6-9 0-0 2-3 11 1 2 0 0 14 19 -
Tayshaun Prince * 28 4-8 0-1 4-6 3 2 0 0 1 12 8 -
Tracy McGrady * 25 5-8 1-1 3-4 2 6 0 1 6 14 9 -
Jason Maxiell * 24 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Charlie Villanueva * 23 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 4 4 -
Ben Gordon * 22 2-6 0-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 5 0 -
Austin Daye * 19 3-8 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 7 5 -
Ben Wallace * 18 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 2 2 4 -
Richard Hamilton * 18 4-9 2-3 1-1 0 3 0 0 0 11 5 -
Rodney Stuckey * 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
Will Bynum 10 3-4 0-0 4-4 0 2 0 0 2 10 6 -
DaJuan Summers 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 34 7-11 0-0 7-7 7 2 2 1 0 21 22 -
Kobe Bryant * 29 6-18 0-1 5-8 7 8 1 0 1 17 14 -
Lamar Odom * 28 6-12 0-3 4-5 9 4 0 0 0 16 17 -
Metta World Peace * 27 3-8 2-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 8 9 -
Derek Fisher * 23 3-6 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
Andrew Bynum * 22 6-6 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 1 0 13 16 -
Shannon Brown * 19 4-12 0-4 1-1 1 2 0 1 0 9 1 -
Steve Blake * 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 5 6 -
Matt Barnes * 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
Luke Walton 8 2-5 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
Derrick Caracter 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Joe Smith 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter