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2011-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 79.1% 20.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Green * 41 1-5 0-2 6-6 0 1 2 1 2 8 5 -
Kevin Durant * 39 11-24 1-5 5-5 9 3 2 0 6 28 12 -
Russell Westbrook * 38 10-20 1-2 7-9 4 7 0 1 1 28 19 -
Serge Ibaka * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
Nenad Krstic * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 4 4 -
James Harden * 22 6-7 3-3 2-3 2 3 1 3 2 17 17 -
Nick Collison * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 4 9 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
Eric Maynor * 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 43 12-18 0-1 3-4 5 4 1 1 4 27 16 -
Mike Conley * 42 4-11 0-2 1-2 5 9 0 1 4 9 9 -
Zach Randolph * 40 11-20 0-0 9-10 16 0 2 0 1 31 28 -
Marc Gasol * 37 5-8 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 1 10 11 -
Tony Allen * 31 6-13 2-3 5-5 2 2 3 2 1 19 14 -
Darrell Arthur * 17 4-10 0-0 1-3 1 1 1 1 0 9 3 -
Greivis Vasquez * 14 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 6 0 0 3 1 5 -
Sam Young * 11 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter