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2011-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +20 (111-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-14 0-0 4-4 4 3 2 2 5 18 10 -
Andrea Bargnani * 32 7-17 1-4 8-8 6 1 0 2 3 23 12 -
Jerryd Bayless * 31 4-10 1-3 2-2 3 8 0 0 2 11 10 -
Leandro Barbosa * 29 6-15 3-4 0-1 1 5 1 0 1 15 6 -
Linas Kleiza * 28 4-10 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 3 -
Amir Johnson * 27 4-4 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 2 1 9 13 -
Julian Wright * 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
Joey Dorsey * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Ed Davis 18 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 2 3 4 3 -
Ronald Dupree 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Solomon Alabi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 40 9-17 1-4 5-9 2 4 1 0 2 24 12 -
Derrick Rose * 29 7-11 2-3 3-3 1 6 0 0 1 19 14 -
Ronnie Brewer * 26 4-10 0-0 4-4 4 2 2 0 3 12 7 -
Taj Gibson * 25 8-11 0-0 0-2 14 0 0 0 0 16 19 -
Carlos Boozer * 24 5-11 0-0 2-2 13 1 1 1 2 12 15 -
Omer Asik * 20 5-6 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 5 4 13 17 -
C.J. Watson * 18 2-5 0-1 1-2 0 5 3 1 1 5 8 -
Kurt Thomas * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Keith Bogans * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
Kyle Korver 20 1-5 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 -
James Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brian Scalabrine 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter