Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 42 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| John Salmons * | 39 | 6-18 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jon Brockman * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 14 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 13-15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter