Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -14 (82-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 15-26 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 24 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 35 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 30 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 21 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sherron Collins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter