Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -9 (95-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 32 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 31 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 30 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 39 | 14-22 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Manny Harris * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 18 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Christian Eyenga * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter