Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +27 (101-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1 | - |
| James Harden * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DJ White * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Byron Mullens | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 25 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 19 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter