Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 41 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| DaJuan Summers | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Gani Lawal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter