Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (103-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 6-20 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 37 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 41 | 11-22 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 18 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| James Harden * | 30 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter