Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (93-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 21 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 39 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 36 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 3-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 29 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 11 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Steve Novak | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter