Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +12 (104-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 11-16 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 29 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Luke Harangody * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Avery Bradley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 27 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 11 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter