Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (103-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorell Wright * | 48 | 13-21 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 43 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| David Lee * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter