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2010-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +18 (95-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicolas Batum * 37 6-11 1-4 1-2 5 2 2 1 2 14 11 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 36 9-17 0-0 0-0 13 4 3 7 1 18 27 -
Dante Cunningham * 34 3-9 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 0 -
Wesley Matthews * 31 1-8 1-2 3-3 1 1 1 0 1 6 0 -
Andre Miller * 24 4-11 0-0 1-1 3 5 1 0 3 9 4 -
Rudy Fernandez * 20 3-7 3-4 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 11 10 -
Sean Marks * 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 4 -
Patty Mills * 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 -
Armon Johnson * 12 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Luke Babbitt 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 39 5-12 1-4 4-4 4 2 3 0 2 15 10 -
JR Smith * 36 6-15 3-6 2-4 2 3 1 0 1 17 7 -
Chauncey Billups * 30 7-11 2-3 2-2 4 9 0 1 2 18 19 -
Nene Hilario * 26 6-7 0-0 5-6 7 1 1 1 1 17 19 -
Chris Andersen * 25 2-5 0-0 4-4 12 1 0 2 1 8 17 -
Ty Lawson * 21 1-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 2 -4 -
Gary Forbes * 21 2-10 0-2 4-6 3 2 0 0 2 8 1 -
Kenyon Martin * 16 5-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 10 11 -
Shelden Williams * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
Melvin Ely 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Renaldo Balkman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter