Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✗ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson * | 42 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 25 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Joey Dorsey * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter