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2010-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amir Johnson * 42 4-8 0-0 4-5 6 2 0 1 1 12 12 -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 7-13 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 1 3 16 6 -
Jerryd Bayless * 33 2-10 0-2 0-0 6 8 2 0 4 4 6 -
Ed Davis * 30 6-8 0-0 5-8 12 0 3 3 0 17 27 -
Leandro Barbosa * 27 5-12 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 12 5 -
Julian Wright * 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 0 5 -
Linas Kleiza * 25 7-14 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 16 1 -
Joey Dorsey * 19 2-2 0-0 3-4 8 2 1 0 4 7 12 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 38 7-16 0-2 1-2 3 0 2 0 4 15 0 -
Jason Terry * 35 8-19 2-8 0-1 4 6 0 0 1 18 8 -
Jason Kidd * 32 3-11 0-2 1-1 6 4 1 2 3 7 6 -
Shawn Marion * 29 5-10 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 3 12 5 -
Tyson Chandler * 25 1-1 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 3 3 7 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 20 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Brian Cardinal * 20 2-4 2-4 2-2 7 1 1 0 0 8 13 -
J.J. Barea * 18 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 7 3 -
Ian Mahinmi * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 5 -
Brendan Haywood * 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -

* = starter