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2010-12-28

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: Miami Heat +8 (106-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amar'e Stoudemire * 43 10-23 0-1 10-12 7 1 2 2 1 30 18 -
Wilson Chandler * 39 9-15 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 2 21 11 -
Raymond Felton * 39 5-13 2-6 3-4 3 5 0 0 0 15 10 -
Danilo Gallinari * 37 5-12 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 1 0 13 9 -
Landry Fields * 32 1-6 0-4 1-3 7 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
Toney Douglas * 19 3-9 3-5 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 11 3 -
Ronny Turiaf * 15 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 2 1 2 2 2 7 -
Shawne Williams * 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Henry Walker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 40 8-17 1-2 1-3 10 8 0 0 3 18 16 -
Chris Bosh * 39 6-12 0-0 6-7 10 4 0 1 2 18 19 -
Dwyane Wade * 38 13-28 1-7 13-16 9 2 2 1 0 40 26 -
Joel Anthony * 33 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
Mario Chalmers * 26 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Carlos Arroyo * 21 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
James Jones * 17 0-3 0-2 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 14 6-8 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 1 1 14 16 -
Juwan Howard * 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter