Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 39 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 40 | 5-21 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter