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2010-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.6% 37.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (96-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Linas Kleiza * 38 10-16 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 22 7 -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-13 0-0 4-8 4 2 0 0 3 18 8 -
Jose Calderon * 35 6-11 1-3 0-0 3 9 3 0 4 13 13 -
Amir Johnson * 29 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 3 0 1 -
Joey Dorsey * 29 5-6 0-0 0-5 13 3 1 1 3 10 19 -
Leandro Barbosa * 27 5-15 0-6 1-1 2 3 2 0 3 11 0 -
Ed Davis * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 5 -
Jerryd Bayless * 16 3-7 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 7 -2 -
Ronald Dupree 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Julian Wright 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 40 6-13 1-4 5-6 5 6 5 1 5 18 17 -
Mike Conley * 38 4-7 1-1 3-6 0 6 2 0 3 12 10 -
Zach Randolph * 37 8-13 0-1 5-5 8 3 1 0 4 21 16 -
Tony Allen * 33 5-9 0-0 4-4 8 2 6 1 2 14 20 -
Marc Gasol * 30 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 2 2 9 8 -
O.J. Mayo * 26 4-9 1-5 3-4 0 0 1 0 2 12 2 -
Darrell Arthur * 20 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Greivis Vasquez * 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Sam Young * 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Hamed Haddadi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter