Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (94-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 42 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Nick Young * | 36 | 5-19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -6 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 35 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| John Wall * | 19 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lester Hudson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| George Hill * | 15 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter