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2010-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (92-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 43 4-15 1-3 1-4 6 2 1 0 0 10 4 -
Derrick Rose * 41 9-23 0-3 5-6 12 8 2 0 6 23 16 -
Carlos Boozer * 36 12-20 0-0 7-9 11 3 1 0 2 31 24 -
Ronnie Brewer * 32 3-7 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
Taj Gibson * 30 2-8 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 0 5 8 -
Kurt Thomas * 28 1-4 0-0 1-1 8 2 1 0 1 3 9 -
Keith Bogans * 14 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
C.J. Watson * 11 1-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Omer Asik * 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Kyle Korver 15 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Brian Scalabrine 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney Stuckey * 38 6-12 0-0 4-5 5 4 1 0 0 16 14 -
Richard Hamilton * 36 6-14 1-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 15 6 -
Tayshaun Prince * 34 8-15 0-0 1-1 4 6 1 2 3 17 12 -
Tracy McGrady * 28 7-13 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 15 4 -
Charlie Villanueva * 28 5-15 0-5 2-2 10 1 2 1 0 12 11 -
Ben Wallace * 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 1 0 4 -
Greg Monroe * 21 1-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jason Maxiell * 21 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 2 1 2 4 -
Ben Gordon * 18 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
Will Bynum * 14 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 -1 -

* = starter