Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✗ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +22 (123-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Neal * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 24 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 19 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 19 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bass * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 32 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 31 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 28 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 25 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Earl Clark | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter