Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +6 (109-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| JR Smith * | 38 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 12-12 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 28 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 26 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Antonio McDyess | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter