Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -6 (99-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 34 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 27 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 16 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 40 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 32 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 39 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter