Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -9 (112-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 33 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 13-13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 28 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 41 | 15-20 | 3-4 | 11-14 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 32 | - |
| David Lee * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Acie Law * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Carney | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter