Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (118-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 42 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 39 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter