Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (91-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 42 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 26 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 3-14 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 39 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 38 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter