Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -3 (110-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 12-14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 30 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 11-14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| James Harden * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| DJ White * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter