Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (111-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 43 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 41 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 39 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Willie Green * | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| DJ Mbenga * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| David Andersen * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 46 | 12-16 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 34 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 43 | 9-21 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 36 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DaJuan Summers * | 8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter