Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (99-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 42 | 5-20 | 1-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 33 | 8-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 18 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Robinson * | 42 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 37 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 36 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 34 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Semih Erden * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter