๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2010-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 โœ— (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -9 (86-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deron Williams * 38 7-15 3-3 5-8 2 11 0 0 2 22 18 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 37 4-7 0-1 4-6 9 4 1 1 0 12 20 -
Al Jefferson * 33 7-15 0-0 4-5 9 2 1 2 2 18 15 -
CJ Miles * 29 6-16 2-5 2-2 7 2 1 0 0 16 10 -
Paul Millsap * 28 6-12 0-0 3-5 9 1 4 2 2 15 17 -
Raja Bell * 24 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Mehmet Okur * 13 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 -1 -
Earl Watson * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
Ronnie Price * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Francisco Elson 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
Kyrylo Fesenko 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 45 5-15 4-6 4-4 2 3 1 1 2 18 8 -
Chris Douglas-Roberts * 36 3-9 0-1 7-7 2 1 0 1 0 13 8 -
Andrew Bogut * 35 8-13 0-1 3-6 9 2 1 1 4 19 15 -
Drew Gooden * 29 6-8 0-1 0-0 7 4 1 0 0 12 16 -
Brandon Jennings * 29 3-7 0-3 0-0 3 4 2 1 3 6 6 -
Keyon Dooling * 26 5-7 3-4 1-1 2 5 0 1 0 14 15 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Corey Maggette * 7 0-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -4 -
Jon Brockman 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter