Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -1 (94-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 11-12 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| James Jones * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Hinrich * | 47 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Nick Young * | 45 | 13-23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 40 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter