Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (106-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steve Novak | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter