Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic McGuire * | 40 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 36 | 9-19 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 36 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 31 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Al Horford * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 12 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jason Collins | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter