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2010-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (20.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: New York Knicks -22 (91-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 14-23 3-6 1-3 11 10 1 0 5 32 26 -
Dwyane Wade * 37 9-22 2-3 6-8 8 5 2 3 2 26 20 -
Chris Bosh * 35 11-19 0-0 4-5 7 1 1 0 5 26 11 -
Carlos Arroyo * 26 4-5 3-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 11 13 -
Mario Chalmers * 21 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 8 6 -
Joel Anthony * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 2 5 -
James Jones * 16 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 3 1 2 9 -
Juwan Howard 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Erick Dampier 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Eddie House 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jamaal Magloire 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raymond Felton * 40 3-12 0-3 2-4 4 10 1 0 3 8 8 -
Danilo Gallinari * 40 8-16 4-8 5-6 4 1 0 1 1 25 14 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 37 11-28 0-0 2-7 14 4 1 2 4 24 13 -
Wilson Chandler * 37 6-13 2-5 3-4 10 2 2 0 1 17 17 -
Landry Fields * 33 2-7 0-2 1-2 5 5 0 0 1 5 7 -
Toney Douglas * 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
Shawne Williams * 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Ronny Turiaf * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Henry Walker 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Timofey Mozgov 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Anthony Randolph 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter