Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -1 (112-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 36 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| George Hill * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 35 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 5-15 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 42 | 10-20 | 1-1 | 10-14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 19 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter