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2010-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (102-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marvin Williams * 35 9-15 1-3 7-9 5 1 0 1 4 26 14 -
Josh Smith * 34 0-8 0-1 1-2 4 3 3 0 2 1 1 -
Mike Bibby * 27 5-9 1-3 0-0 3 8 1 0 0 11 14 -
Al Horford * 25 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 8 10 -
Jeff Teague * 25 8-11 0-0 2-3 4 2 3 0 4 18 12 -
Josh Powell * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 6 0 -
Zaza Pachulia * 18 2-3 0-0 6-6 4 0 2 0 0 10 13 -
Damien Wilkins * 18 2-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
Jason Collins * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Maurice Evans * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jordan Crawford 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Robinson * 41 6-15 2-7 0-0 0 5 3 0 6 14 1 -
Ray Allen * 39 7-13 2-6 2-2 2 6 4 0 1 18 16 -
Paul Pierce * 38 5-15 2-5 3-4 5 10 1 0 1 15 15 -
Glen Davis * 32 8-15 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 0 1 18 14 -
Kevin Garnett * 31 8-10 0-0 1-1 14 3 2 0 1 17 25 -
Semih Erden * 23 5-6 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 10 5 -
Marquis Daniels * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
Luke Harangody * 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Avery Bradley * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Von Wafer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter