Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -21 (83-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 15-23 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 24 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| James Jones * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beno Udrih * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 26 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 20 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Pooh Jeter * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Luther Head | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter