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2010-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (103-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deron Williams * 40 12-22 2-4 8-9 3 6 2 0 1 34 22 -
Paul Millsap * 35 6-13 0-0 4-6 8 2 3 0 0 16 16 -
Al Jefferson * 31 4-14 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
CJ Miles * 28 5-13 0-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 10 4 -
Ronnie Price * 27 5-8 3-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 14 8 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 22 2-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 4 6 4 -
Francisco Elson * 16 1-2 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Earl Watson * 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jeremy Evans * 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 2 0 2 8 -
Gordon Hayward * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 38 10-12 3-4 8-11 15 4 0 1 3 31 36 -
Jason Kidd * 35 1-5 0-3 1-1 4 9 2 0 3 3 10 -
Caron Butler * 34 6-9 4-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 16 14 -
Tyson Chandler * 29 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 1 6 13 -
Jason Terry * 22 4-12 2-4 4-4 0 0 1 1 5 14 -1 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 21 5-9 5-7 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 17 12 -
Shawn Marion * 19 2-7 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 6 3 -
J.J. Barea * 19 1-6 0-3 6-8 0 2 0 0 1 8 3 -
Brendan Haywood * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter