Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +14 (97-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 38 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 34 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 34 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 13 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| AJ Price | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 40 | 7-20 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jason Collins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter