Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (108-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 42 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 34 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 34 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter